Well still watching the forecast and the amount of rainfall forecast is staying around the same just small changes day to day. So right now everything looks to have flows peaking around midnight the 30th. It looks like the rainy 8-day event starts on September 24th and 26th and 27th are the wettest days. The rainfall tails down for the following 5 days.

With the West Fork Satsop getting 9.5 inches in 8 days and nearly 2 inches each day the 26th and 27th let us just say we are going to get mud big time in the Middle Fork and West Forks Satsop. Matlock is supposed to get nearly 7 inches so we can expect the East Fork Satsop to go out but nothing like the other forks. What this all means is when the October first opening comes the Satsop will be muddy or clearing and Coho are likely to be above the cutoff line and hatchery Coho likely all the way to Bingham. All those Coho in the bay and tide water are going to be after burners on somewhere around the 28th! The good news is the river will drop fast and the fish will slow way down as the river clears and fishing should be good just less of them than we all hoped.

My best guess for the upper Chehalis is this rain is the best thing for fishing in a long time. The rainfall is much less with the same pattern and is forecast to peak around midnight on the 30th at Doty and the next day at Porter. The Coho are primarily in the bay and tidewater with more jacks than I can remember and most have not even got scales set. So upper basin guys this rain is going to bring you a bunch of bright Coho and they are going slow down on the drop. I think you lose a few days at the starting line October 1st but this going be about as good as it gets for inland fishers! Bit of a dream come true.

Going to stink in tidewater and the bay.

One last thing about the rain. How much is one thing but how fast it comes down is another. Two inches one day and two inches another is one thing as this is 48 hours in the foreast. It is something all together different if you get two inches at 8 PM to midnight one day and midnight to 4 AM the next day. Two days in the forecast but for the river it is 4 inches in 8 hours. So forecast are about 24 hours in a day but for the rivers it is not necessarily the same if your talking flows.

For October presently the forecast is for temperatures above normal but dropping as always in the fall and little rainfall until the end of the month.