WOW... sobering run size forecasts spell a limited season for the Chehalis basin.

The only folks gonna be happy are the ones looking for smoker chums and premium keta caviar. Highlight of the forecast is 58K chums.





Chinook is still squarely in the penalty box.... 5% impact cap on a run-size nearly identical to 2017 = 540 wild kings available on the NON-treaty side. Take a 50 fish slice out for the Chehalis tribe and that leaves the state with less than 500 fish to kill as release morts in targeting other species.

Coho likely to be in the penalty box given last years dismal return and probable escapement failure. In this scenario, the state has less than 1700 wild coho impacts to target hatchery coho and chum. OTOH if we we actually squeaked past the escapement goal in 2017, there are about 2500 wild coho to target or use as impact to access hatch coho and chum.

...

On the Hump side, a king fishery is a pretty safe bet with about a 1000 wild fish available for all fisheries targeting chinook, chum and hatch coho. Count on some mark-select weeks to help stretch the wild impact for a longer king season.

No surprise, Hump wild coho are in the eternal penalty box (what's new?) so up to 235 of these can be burned up to access hatchery coho, chum and chinook.

....

Let the games begin!