Generally PP polls are pretty reflective of the national consensus.

It was right on in the 2016 presidential election.

You forgot the third option of who doesn't gaf

who knew it would turn out that lopsided.

Now we know what is going to happen, The national polls are wrong again likely off by 8 to 15%, the trends have changed and the pollsters have not caught up, they have learned nothing from 2016.

Guys, in 48 hours we will know, why oh why do we need to predict?

I don't trust Nate Silver. First off, I don't believe anything that comes out of a Jews mouth unless I can independently verify it--but I can independently verify for you that he does in fact not know what he is talking about. The polls always come out with a huge lead to the Dems and then at the last minute they are suddenly too close to call. Bullsh!t, you were just spewing propaganda like usual. The polls never were ahead or perhaps telling people that they are sure to lose just motivates them to turn out in greater numbers to win more! One thing is certain is that Nate Silver doesn't know sh!t, you can tell from his lame explanation that he still doesn't understand statistical independence or probability theory at all. Another problem for Nate Silver is that his political beliefs and bias influences his data or at least his analysis. He's a pro-Clinton shill being fed propaganda and false stats, but nobody bothered to tell him so he's confused and just publishing what he has. "Its possible that they can win and its possible that he can lose" Yeah no fvcking sh!t its possible, those are the only 2 possible outcomes.

Secondly I don't trust the methodology of the polls. Call 30,000 people and get 500 to answer, you are only getting a certain type of person to answer--and she is probably lonely and lives with lots of cats. With all the spam calls and telemarketers who answers random calls for surveys? Thirdly, most people won't admit that they are voting R since Trump supporters get demonized, yelled at and punched in the face--but that doesn't stop them from voting all R in the privacy of the voting booth. Fourthly Hillary was totally going to win and DRUMPF doesn't have a chance. Remember that one? Fool me once, shame on, shame on you, fool me, you can't get fooled again. He had also missed completely both 2010 and 2014 midterms. Basically he just called both Obama elections and this monkeysh!t became a media darling. The more you know about statistics, the less you think about Nate Silver.



Fifthly, just look at him, I mean c'mon. He looks so greasy. What does he shave with, a stick of butter? I just wanna run a butter knife down his cheek and scrape some of that sh!t off onto a piece of toast. Look at his hair, how disgusting and bizarre it is to bald like this. What is with those glasses, does he really have inferior genetics with broken eyes or does he just wear them to look like a young brainiac cuckhold fetishist? There is a reason that the ancient Spartans would have killed anyone needing glasses from birth, they are all damaged not just in their optic nerves but deep into the brain as well. Needing eyeglasses from birth is not a physical problem with your eyes, it's a nerve problem in your brain. I've never met a sane person who has needed eyeglasses (excepting old age related degeneration), they are all invariably liberal--probably because they are weak, they have weak eyes so since they know they aren't the fittest they oppose natural selection and right wing politics. Studies have shown that eyesight can change thoughts and emotions because it profoundly affects the way you perceive the world and having bad eyesight makes you a pathetic whiny neurotic bitch unable to make judgements themselves because they get stuck in perception stage second guessing the possibilities of their own perceptions. People who need glasses from birth should just be killed at birth along with people with Down's Syndrome, or at least sterilized and kept segregated from the rest of the population so we don't have to be annoyed by inferior retards whose eyes and brains don't work properly. When the day of the rope gets here, anyone wearing glasses goes first, it's not like they are even entitled to be alive when their parents should have killed them at birth like the Spartans. Fvck Nate Silver and fvck anyone dumb enough to think anything he has to say is valid, novel or interesting.

When the liberals lose and tears flow Tuesday night, what can we do to push the left over the edge? I'm talking baiting them into violence and/or suicide. That is, assuming they don't chimp out on their own--which is pretty likely based on all their hysterics even before the election.

same as now. no one

Steele..you are one angry, confused and racist SOB.

I'd say there's about a 75% chance that the Democrats take the House, maybe a little higher, 80%.

The Senate is a toss up, probably slight edge to the Republicans. Bootlicker Rafael took a hit in the polls last week, that could be the race that makes the difference either way.

Democrats will probably flip a handful of governerships.

Fish on...

Todd

Even if the D's control the House, it really won't change much in DC as the R's were incapable of governing. What would change there is that there would be a whole new round of House investigations.

Nate Silver is an absolute toolshed that knows nothing about anything. All he is saying is what he WANTS to happen, just like Todd is saying. Neither of them have any actual information, evidence or analysis.

Oh he was right in 2012 and wrong a bunch of other times, so we should listen to him now? By that logic we should listen to Rich G because he was right in 2016 and ignore all the stuff Rich is wrong about.

Oh fivethirtyeight.com, a blog! Oh wow, amazing. Some guy posts on a blog! I'm impressed.

Nate Silver wanted Obama to win, so he said Obama was going to win. Libtards generally have magical thinking where they think if they say something enough times it will become true. Abracadabra! (Abracadabra is Hebrew for "I create as I speak" they are not lying, just creating reality). This is why libtards are so worried about what people say and have to censor everyone.

Todd said Obama was going to win and he had the exact same source as Nate Silver (they both pulled it out of their asses). Todd said Trump was going to lose and so did Nate Silver and they both pulled that out of their asses as well. Now If I'm going to listen to know nothing jackass spouting off partisan rhetoric they pulled out of their ass, I'd rather listen to Todd as he is occasionally entertaining and doesn't pretend that he didn't just pull it out of his own ass.

Nate Silver is a hack, you call tell by his explanations he doesn't understand the statistical concepts that he is talking about (either that or he is intentionally being deceptive). Fvck Nate Silver and fvck anyone dumb enough to think anything he has to say is valid, novel or interesting.

Nothing you just said relates at all to the current polling, the lack of data and the poor analysis he did. The house is a toss up and the senate is safely going to be in Republican hands. I can't prove this with the polls though and neither can anyone else, including Nate Silver. Nate Silver is a dumbfvck and anyone who thinks he is an expert is also a dumbfvck.

Here is why the Democrats are going to "win" tomorrow.

"We're definately winning the House, easily" - Dems
"But what if you don't?
"Because we are absolutely positively certain we'll win, we riot if it goes the other way so we still win."

That sounds like a no lose strategy to me. They can riot their way right to the white house depose Kavanaugh and Trump to install Hillary. Get ready to say MADAME PRESIDENT, it's all over for DRUMPF!

Fixed that for you and yes, we all long ago realized that about Spankster.

Your memory is failing, Spanky. Stam drinks Cosmos. I do not. However, I do prefer a negroni on ice, but will sometimes drink one near. Kinda has the same color/look at a cosmo. Maybe that is what you are referring too?

Oh, and you're more than welcome to tell me yourself. But that requires balls.

Oh well, guess that ain't gonna happen.

Carry and on and continue on being a mean old grumpy man.

You also repeast yourself.

Poor grumpy old man.

Don't you worry old timer. Your pain will soon end on 11-11-18.

Wow, Silver is saying what Rasmussen has been saying for 4 months? I thought the Dems were going to take both houses, what went wrong?

YES!!! When I go I want to have a 40ozer in my hand. See you all in Valhalla brothers!

And the winner of the 2018 Darkside Pickup Line Contest goes to:

Hank and the line he uses on his cat.

Stocks Surge After Latest Poll Shows GOP Retaining The House



https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-05/stocks-surge-after-latest-poll-shows-gop-retaining-house

ITS FVCKING OVER FOR THE LIBTARDS

Stock market just priced in the best data - REPUBLICANS CONTROL BOTH HOUSE AND SENATE. Its the day before the election and the smartest indicators (no your lefty fake news is not smart - see 2016) which are the financial indicators have priced in a huge republican win. Or are stock algorithms and trillions of dollars wrong? Only low-IQ retards and the brainwashed batsh!t insane vote for dumbocrats confirmed! The left has nothing left but to kill itself - its regressive ideology is REJECTED by normal people. COMPLETELY BLOWN THE FVCK OUT WITH NO RECOVERY!!

Note: Still go out and vote. Make sure you bring all your family. We need this to be as painful as possible for the left if we want them to prove to normies how retarded they are by burning down their own neighborhoods.

Tomorrow is going to be glorious, libshit tears will flow, the media will go hysterical, ANTIFA will be out in force. I expect there to be riots, vandalism, violence, even murders. Will be a good fun time. Batten down the hatches and make sure you have plenty of MALT LIQUOR. The left will be screaming to the sky throwing a riot while I will be laughing, celebrating with a 40oz of COLT 45 MALT LIQUOR and baitposting on the Darkside.

Same as 2016, the pollsters are chitting right now and trying to re-adjust so they don't look like retards again.

GOP keeps senate and house, might loose some seats in the house but gain in the senate.

Dems get nothing and totally go off the deep end.

Trump is going to publicly announce "Q" very soon. Q let everybody know that the Podesta brothers have sealed indictments, which is the first time he has confirmed by full name. Arrests will follow probably soon after the elections, likely while the left is rioting the special ops will begin as everybody's attention will be on the rioters.

And what will be your reponse when none of this (except the Republicans keeping the Senate) happens?

Let me guess...you will totally gloss over being almost completely and utterly wrong with your doomsday predictions...again, like the last 17 times...and then take a little time off, and come back pretending like it never happened...again, like the last 17 times...and make another (wrong) doomsday prediction.

Sound about right?

Fish on...

Todd

Adam Schiff will get revenge on that Devin Nunes.

Trump investigation starting Wednesday.

Trump refuses to confront Vladmir Putin. Russians must have compromising information on Trump.

Russians buzzing Navy

"And what will be your reponse when none of this (except the Republicans keeping the Senate) happens?"

Rasmussen has Republicans +1
CNN has Democrats +13

Same as last time Rasmussen and LA Times got +/- 1 the night before in 2016. CNN was +11 Democrats the night before 2016


I don't think I am going to be wrong Todd if anything the GOP will do better in the house than I think they will, that's about as wrong as I will be.

Todd, so when you are wrong are you gonna take a break for a while and then come back and act like you were never wrong?

Looks like me and the DS were wrong. Will make for some good drama.

It's a good night for the Dems in the House. My guess is that they will end up with about a 25 seat majority.

Dino Rossi is again a loser but he seems like a good guy. Kim Schrier is a first time democratic winner for WA-08.

It will be more exciting and fun this way. Declass FISA.

I wonder what campaign Dino can start losing this time, and how much money the Republicans will keep throwing in his hole until they get tired of it and find a new guy?

I actually like him, but when he was my state rep I spent about an hour in his office talking with him and I was pretty surprised at how uninformed he was about most anything. If he ever gets elected to do anything again he'll just vote how he is told.

Fish on...

Todd

I don't know about you guys, but since Rich's track record on conspiracies and doomsday predictions have been so fuckin spot on, I am pretty sure Trump is about to announce Q and then institute martial law and get his fascism on in a big way by arresting all of his political enemies, tinpot despot style.

Or...not. Or not any of those things at all happening.

Either way.

Fish on...

Todd

I have never liked Dino, he always appears too desperate for power. He keeps running even though he cannot win, how much money has been wasted on this skid mark? He wants so badly to be a career politician for himself, not for the people... If he was in it for the people he would have stepped back long ago so he would not waste anymore time and money.

I agree, and I would think the State Republicans could come up with someone with a better track record, but putting up a serial loser seems to be their strategy with Dino.

Fish on...

Todd

Most of the time the party with the presidency loses the midterms. Americans like checks and balances, so now there is a check on Trump. This also ensures that Trump will get 2020 to maintain the balance.

We still got the Senate, so can confirm all our nominations.

Republicans:
Supreme Court = Life
President = 2-6 more years
Senate = 6 years

Dems:
House = 2 years

Republicans have Executive, Supreme Court, and Senate; while the Dems have the House. So for the next 2 years the house will piss, moan, investigate and obstruct and nothing will get done in government. Fine by me, looks like we will have to wait for 2020 until we get the wall funded.

Skeletor will be speaker, the madman himself just endorsed her on twitter. I can't tell if he is being sarcastic or if he is just doing it to hurt her chances.

Motherfvck you Skeleotor Pelosi, roll that old bag of bones out on stage. Motherfvck you too Elizabeth Warren damn pocahontas cvnt. Don't forget to motherfvck that batsh!t insane commie cvnt Osh!ttio-Cortez.

Just goes to show you that right wing voters prefer reality TV stars to reality.

This should not come as a surprise, if it does, you probably should check yourself into a mental health ward.

Fish on...

Todd