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#605977 - 06/17/10 10:28 AM Re: 470,000?? I'm not so sure...... [Re: Todd]
SBD Offline
clown flocker

Registered: 10/19/09
Posts: 3731
Loc: Water
Well they still got way more so called wild fish back than previous years, but the whole plan still ain't working that's for sure.
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#605978 - 06/17/10 10:32 AM Re: 470,000?? I'm not so sure...... [Re: SBD]
stlhdr1 Offline
BUCK NASTY!!

Registered: 01/26/00
Posts: 6312
Loc: Vancouver, WA
Originally Posted By: SBD
Well they still got way more so called wild fish back than previous years, but the whole plan still ain't working that's for sure.


That's exactly it......... So called wild fish. Sure is funny how all of the wild fish we handled as well the group I fish with all caught cookie cutter wild fish. They were all similar 10-14lb just like the hatchery fish...................

Keith
_________________________
It's time to put the red rubber nose away, clown seasons over.


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#605979 - 06/17/10 10:45 AM Re: 470,000?? I'm not so sure...... [Re: stlhdr1]
SBD Offline
clown flocker

Registered: 10/19/09
Posts: 3731
Loc: Water
Clip Clip...And focus our efforts on the area's that are left. Helluva a lot cheaper and might actually save some true wild fish.
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#606001 - 06/17/10 12:36 PM Re: 470,000?? I'm not so sure...... [Re: stlhdr1]
Illahee Offline
River Nutrients

Registered: 05/22/05
Posts: 3771
You seem to think that there are a large number of unclipped hatchery fish.
Can you supply any data that shows a low ad clip rate?
Or is this just a gut feeling?
All the numbers I've read seem to indicate your wrong in your assumptions, but If you have hard data then let's see it.
Here are the hatchery ad-clip release summaries for the CR uprivier spring stock. Brood years 2004 and 2005 will yield the majority of what we all see out there.

It comes out to about 90%. Maybe just a tad under.

2004

http://www.rmpc.org/reports/AS121444.txt

2005

http://www.rmpc.org/reports/AS121478.txt



Edited by freespool (06/17/10 12:49 PM)

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#606065 - 06/17/10 04:20 PM Re: 470,000?? I'm not so sure...... [Re: Illahee]
SBD Offline
clown flocker

Registered: 10/19/09
Posts: 3731
Loc: Water
The links are dead for me, but would like to see the data..
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#606096 - 06/17/10 05:47 PM Re: 470,000?? I'm not so sure...... [Re: SBD]
Illahee Offline
River Nutrients

Registered: 05/22/05
Posts: 3771
Working on getting it fixed.

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#606334 - 06/18/10 08:30 PM Re: 470,000?? I'm not so sure...... [Re: Illahee]
stlhdr1 Offline
BUCK NASTY!!

Registered: 01/26/00
Posts: 6312
Loc: Vancouver, WA
Originally Posted By: freespool
You seem to think that there are a large number of unclipped hatchery fish.
Can you supply any data that shows a low ad clip rate?
Or is this just a gut feeling?
All the numbers I've read seem to indicate your wrong in your assumptions, but If you have hard data then let's see it.
Here are the hatchery ad-clip release summaries for the CR uprivier spring stock. Brood years 2004 and 2005 will yield the majority of what we all see out there.

It comes out to about 90%. Maybe just a tad under.

2004

http://www.rmpc.org/reports/AS121444.txt

2005

http://www.rmpc.org/reports/AS121478.txt



Evidence? Depends on how you look at it......

At the age of 35 I've had the chance to meet hundreds of CR fisherman and many who have polaroids as well as pictures from the early times... Ironically a lot of the Spring Chinook that were caught then were significantly bigger on average.... It wasn't uncommon to see pictures from late March and early April of limits of 20+lb fish.. Of course back then, very few if any were clipped so it was hard to distinguish the "true" native fish...

How is it that as time has progressed the "non-clipped or native" fish seem to follow the same trend in size as the hatchery fish???

On a different subject it sure is funny how the winter steelhead hatchery fish have turned to nothing more than 6-8 lb cookie cutters for the most part yet their true native brothers still exist from high teens to 30+lb fish....

Coincidence on the springers hatchery vs. wild? I think so.......

Is it inbreeding? I don't know, but as time has progressed the hatchery fish have shrunk in size....

Here's a question for you... What was the smallest spring chinook run to cross Bonneville dam?

Keith thumbs
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It's time to put the red rubber nose away, clown seasons over.


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#606342 - 06/18/10 09:09 PM Re: 470,000?? I'm not so sure...... [Re: stlhdr1]
SBD Offline
clown flocker

Registered: 10/19/09
Posts: 3731
Loc: Water
http://www.cbbulletin.com/389844.aspx

Never going to rebuild the Wild Columbia Runs as long as the Dam's are in place..Didn't work on the Sac, Elwha, Klamath, and ain't going to work here.
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#606345 - 06/18/10 09:16 PM Re: 470,000?? I'm not so sure...... [Re: SBD]
boater Offline
Three Time Spawner

Registered: 07/01/09
Posts: 1597
Loc: common sense ave.
Originally Posted By: SBD
http://www.cbbulletin.com/389844.aspx

Never going to rebuild the Wild Columbia Runs as long as the Dam's are in place..



there is no effort to rebuild the runs but there is a giant effort to conserve what we have left and develop hatchery only fisheries and live happily ever after.

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#606351 - 06/18/10 09:54 PM Re: 470,000?? I'm not so sure...... [Re: boater]
SBD Offline
clown flocker

Registered: 10/19/09
Posts: 3731
Loc: Water
That ain't what the boat ramp guys are selling.. moose
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#606370 - 06/18/10 11:38 PM Re: 470,000?? I'm not so sure...... [Re: SBD]
Todd Offline
Dick Nipples

Registered: 03/08/99
Posts: 27838
Loc: Seattle, Washington USA
Originally Posted By: SBD
That ain't what the boat ramp guys are selling.. moose


Yeah, it is...they just don't know it.

Fish on...

Todd
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Team Flying Super Ditch Pickle


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#606382 - 06/19/10 12:25 AM Re: 470,000?? I'm not so sure...... [Re: Todd]
SBD Offline
clown flocker

Registered: 10/19/09
Posts: 3731
Loc: Water
Yeah I think the guys pulling the strings know what it is, the truth is very hard to package up and sell is the real problem.
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#606780 - 06/21/10 09:57 PM Re: 470,000?? I'm not so sure...... [Re: stlhdr1]
Illahee Offline
River Nutrients

Registered: 05/22/05
Posts: 3771
Originally Posted By: stlhdr1
Originally Posted By: SBD
Well they still got way more so called wild fish back than previous years, but the whole plan still ain't working that's for sure.


That's exactly it......... So called wild fish. Sure is funny how all of the wild fish we handled as well the group I fish with all caught cookie cutter wild fish. They were all similar 10-14lb just like the hatchery fish...................

Keith


Here's the brood years we just fished on 2004 and 05, so they are in fact ad clipping CR hatchery fish at a very high level.

Brood Year 2004 87.6% ad-clip
Brood Year 2005 88.2% ad-clip

I give up, these links just don't want to be posted, you'll have to take my word for it I guess.


Edited by freespool (06/21/10 10:05 PM)

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#606786 - 06/21/10 10:34 PM Re: 470,000?? I'm not so sure...... [Re: Illahee]
SBD Offline
clown flocker

Registered: 10/19/09
Posts: 3731
Loc: Water
This is upriver rates I take it, and one fact sheet had as high as 92% mark rate this spring if I remember right..But have a houseful right now so no time to dig..
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#606796 - 06/21/10 11:10 PM Re: 470,000?? I'm not so sure...... [Re: Illahee]
stlhdr1 Offline
BUCK NASTY!!

Registered: 01/26/00
Posts: 6312
Loc: Vancouver, WA
Originally Posted By: freespool
Originally Posted By: stlhdr1
Originally Posted By: SBD
Well they still got way more so called wild fish back than previous years, but the whole plan still ain't working that's for sure.


That's exactly it......... So called wild fish. Sure is funny how all of the wild fish we handled as well the group I fish with all caught cookie cutter wild fish. They were all similar 10-14lb just like the hatchery fish...................

Keith


Here's the brood years we just fished on 2004 and 05, so they are in fact ad clipping CR hatchery fish at a very high level.

Brood Year 2004 87.6% ad-clip
Brood Year 2005 88.2% ad-clip

I give up, these links just don't want to be posted, you'll have to take my word for it I guess.


I'm not insinuating that we have NO wild fish left, I'm just saying there's a lot less than people think...

Let me help you out a little with those links....

The majority of the 2010 adult returns for our spring/summer Chinook will be from brood year’s 2005 and 2006. Here is what the coded wire tag/ad-clip database RMIS reports...

Upriver CR Stock Spring Chinook

Brood Year 2005 = 87% ad-clip
Brood Year 2006 = 85% ad-clip

http://www.rmpc.org/reports/AS113647.txt
http://www.rmpc.org/reports/AS113695.txt

Lower CR Stock Spring Chinook

Brood Year 2005 = 94% ad-clip
Brood Year 2006 = 95% ad-clip

http://www.rmpc.org/reports/AS113843.txt
http://www.rmpc.org/reports/AS113894.txt

Upper CR Summer Chinook

Brood Year 2005 = 76% ad-clip
Brood Year 2006 = 86% ad-clip

http://www.rmpc.org/reports/AS114625.txt
http://www.rmpc.org/reports/AS114669.txt

Keith
_________________________
It's time to put the red rubber nose away, clown seasons over.


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#606801 - 06/21/10 11:26 PM Re: 470,000?? I'm not so sure...... [Re: stlhdr1]
SBD Offline
clown flocker

Registered: 10/19/09
Posts: 3731
Loc: Water
Well if were clipping at 80% and returning fish are 80%... cryriver
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#606802 - 06/21/10 11:33 PM Re: 470,000?? I'm not so sure...... [Re: ]
SBD Offline
clown flocker

Registered: 10/19/09
Posts: 3731
Loc: Water
http://www.nwcouncil.org/history/HanfordReach.asp


These are fall Chinook I believe..
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#606803 - 06/21/10 11:39 PM Re: 470,000?? I'm not so sure...... [Re: SBD]
stlhdr1 Offline
BUCK NASTY!!

Registered: 01/26/00
Posts: 6312
Loc: Vancouver, WA
Here's another way to look at it and the #'s aren't perfect, but you'll get the idea.....

2005 UpRiver CR Springer plants = 15,958,208 total smolt
Of that total you had:
2005 Upriver CR Springer nonclip CWT tagged = 1,984,261 smolt
2005 Upriver CR Springer nonclipped no tag = 409,686 smolts

2006 Upriver CR Springer Plants = 15,882,808 total smolt
Of that total you had:
2006 Upriver Cr Springer nonclip CWT tagged = 1,422,460 smolts
2006 Upriver CR Springer nonclipped no tag = 673,296 total smolt

If we had somewhere around a 1% survival ratio on these smolt that would put the non-clipped at an estimated total of 52,529 adults returning with an extra fin although they were raised in a concrete raceway....

We had an estimated 329,000 adults return in 2010 per Eyefish's #'s... If you had 52,529 estimated misclipped fish moving through that would have you catching 16% wild fish... That # is about 2 percent short of what jives with what me and all the buddies caught this year with a sample of roughly 300 fish.... That's counting guide buddies of mine as well...

Help me understand how our #'s are what they are, why aren't we catching 25% or more wild fish on the river?

What was your percentages of hatchery vs. wild landed? Anyone?

Keith huh

_________________________
It's time to put the red rubber nose away, clown seasons over.


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#606807 - 06/22/10 12:05 AM Re: 470,000?? I'm not so sure...... [Re: stlhdr1]
SBD Offline
clown flocker

Registered: 10/19/09
Posts: 3731
Loc: Water
http://www.dfw.state.or.us/fish/OSCRP/CRM/FS/10/10_03_29wf8.pdf


Here's some mark rates from commercial test fishing, they look remarkably similar to freespools rates, small samples though.
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#606816 - 06/22/10 01:00 AM Re: 470,000?? I'm not so sure...... [Re: SBD]
stlhdr42 Offline
Spawner

Registered: 10/13/08
Posts: 843
Loc: where the fish swim
From the first one on february 22nd to the last one on the april closer I had 35 springers hit the boat of those I can only remember 3 being wild. The last week of summer kings seems to be the other way around.
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