Francis, when the fishery is managed by the non-tribal commercial's share of the 2%, it won't change how likely they are or are not to overshoot their share depending on what they fish with.

They're going to kill their share, and the amount will be based on the pre-season forecast.

With gillnets or purse seines, if the forecast is significantly higher than the actual run size, they will overfish and fish into our share.

If they are more successful under the allowed fishery than the model said they would be, or if the percentage of wild fish encountered is higher than the forecast said it would be, then they will overfish...again, before we get to fish.

Again...just as 2% is 2%, no matter how they're killed, the non-tribal commercial share of the 2% will die no matter how they fish, and they will be just as likely to fish into the sportie share no matter what they fish with...and we'll be just as likely to have a delayed opener for summer Chinook or summer run steelhead as we are now.

The only way to avoid having a delayed sportfishery for summer Chinook or summer run steelhead is the same only way that this will benefit ESA springers without ruining sportfishing for hatchery springers...and that's getting them off the river completely.

Fish on...

Todd